Ponzi Radar

How long until this doubles your money?

Doubling time is the fastest way to feel a rate. Two percent a month sounds modest and doubles a balance in under three years; ten percent a month doubles it in seven months. This page shows both the shortcut and the exact figure.

Enter the numbers

The result is computed on the server, so it also works with JavaScript turned off.
What this rate means

Far above anything supervised finance guarantees

Returns this size exist only inside leveraged trading, private equity and a handful of short-lived funds - never as a fixed, guaranteed rate paid to the public. A guarantee at this level is paid from the money coming in after you.

Double your money in 35 days compounded at the promised rate
Rule of 72 says 36.0 months 72 / rate, the shortcut
Exact answer 35.0 months ln(2) / ln(1 + rate)
Annualised 26.82% for comparison
TargetAmountTime to get there
2x$2.0K35 days
10x$10.0K4 months
100x$100.0K8 months
1000x$1.0M11 months

Time to multiply by M = ln(M) / ln(1 + rate).

The red line

A guaranteed return higher than a Treasury bill or an insured deposit cannot exist. Every dollar paid above the risk-free rate is paid for with risk, leverage, or other people's deposits. A published promise of a fixed return above the risk-free rate is the definition of a return trap.

Reading the result

Questions this calculator answers

These are arithmetic tools, not investment advice, and no calculator can tell you whether a particular operator is honest. What the arithmetic does show is whether the advertised return could come from a supervised product at all. To see the returns that are being promised in the wild, read the register, or the method and math page for how entries are built.

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