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What does 1% per month actually compound to?

Taken at face value and multiplied out, 1% per month is 12.68% a year. That is about 3.2x what you would get from a three-month Treasury bill that pays around 4% and a government-insured deposit around 3.5%. The arithmetic below assumes every payment arrives on time, which is the assumption that fails in practice, not the compounding.

What this rate means

Above the best long-run professional record

No supervised product guarantees this. To pay it, somebody has to take market risk, use leverage, or use new deposits. Once it is advertised as fixed or risk-free, the arithmetic and the promise are no longer the same thing.

Advertised rate 1% per month as promoters quote it
Compounded over a year 12.68% (1.0100) to the power of 12
Money doubles in 2 months at this rate, if it were real
$1,000 after one year $37.8K no fees, no tax, no missed payment
Payout owed on $1,000 $10.00 a month for the promise to hold, forever

1% per month, by starting amount

Held for$100 becomes$1,000 becomes$10,000 becomes
1 year$112.68$1.1K$11.3K
3 years$143.08$1.4K$14.3K
5 years$181.67$1.8K$18.2K
10 years$330.04$3.3K$33.0K

Balance = principal x (1 + 1%) ^ periods, compounded every month.

1% per month against what is guaranteed

Reference levels: long-run approximations, October 2026. A multiple of "-" means the comparison does not apply.

Reference levelRateThis rate in multiples
Insured bank deposit (US, FDIC)3.5% a year (guaranteed)3.6x
3-month US Treasury bill4.0% a year (guaranteed)3.2x
US inflation (consumer prices)2.5% a year (not investable, measures erosion)5.1x
S&P 500, long-run average10.0% a year (not guaranteed to anyone)1.3x
Best long-run professional record (Buffett, decades)20.0% a year (not guaranteed to anyone)0.6x

The red line

A guaranteed return higher than a Treasury bill or an insured deposit cannot exist. Every dollar paid above the risk-free rate is paid for with risk, leverage, or other people's deposits. A published promise of a fixed return above the risk-free rate is the definition of a return trap.

No published entry on this register currently quotes a rate in this range. The arithmetic above still applies to any offer that does.

Questions about 1% per month

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